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Workshop 4: Evolution and Spread of Disease: Schedule

Schedule

Monday, March 19
8:00am Shuttle leaves for MBI
8:15-8:45am Breakfast
8:45-9:00am Welcome, overview of workshop, and introductions: Marty Golubitsky
9:00-10:00am Alex Vespignani: Real Time Numerical Forecast of Global Epidemic Spreading
10:00-10:30am Break
10:30-11:00am Frank Ball: R0 and other reproduction numbers for epidemic models with households and other social structures
11:00-11:30am Tom Britton: Weighted networks with applications to epidemics
11:30-12:00pm Questions and discussion (Moderator: Sally Blower)
12:00-2:00pm Lunch break
2:00-2:30pm Jean-Stephane Dhersin: Large graph limit for a SIR process in a random network with heterogeneous connectivity
2:30-3:00pm Chi Viet Tran: Modelling of the Cuban HIV Epidemics
3:00-3:30pm Break
3:30-5:00pm Afternoon discussion leader: Pieter Trapman (Moderator: Linda Allen)
5:00-7:00pm Reception and poster session in MBI Lounge
7:00pm Shuttle pick-up from MBI
Tuesday, March 20
8:15am Shuttle leaves for MBI
8:30-9:00am Breakfast
9:00-10:00am Valerie Isham: An introduction to stochastic models for epidemics and the effects of population structure
10:00-10:30am Break
10:30-11:00am Phillip O'Neill: Modelling and inference for healthcare-associated infections
11:00-11:30am Gerardo Chowell-Puente: Disentangling the spatio-temporal dynamics of the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in Mexico and Peru
11:30-12:00pm Questions and discussion (Moderator: Linda Allen)
12:00-2:00pm Lunch break
2:00-2:30pm Jose Miguel Ponciano: Modeling the diversity and stability of human vaginal microbial communities
2:30-3:00pm Shweta Bansal: Contact Networks for Modeling Immunizing Infectious Disease Dynamics
3:00-3:30pm Break
3:30-5:00pm Afternoon discussion leader: Aaron King (Moderator: Helen Wearing)
5:15pm Shuttle pick-up from MBI
Wednesday, March 21
8:15am Shuttle leaves for MBI
8:30-9:00am Breakfast
9:00-10:00am Hans Metz: The interplay of infectivity that decreases with virulence and limited cross-immunity: (toy) models for respiratory disease evolution
10:00-10:30am Break
10:30-11:00am Viggo Andreasen: The final outcome of an epidemic with two strains
11:00-11:30am Jan Medlock: The impact of vaccination on dengue virulence
11:30-12:00pm Questions and Discussion (Moderator: Sylvie Meleard)
12:00-2:00pm Lunch break
2:00-2:30pm Ayalvadi Ganesh: Tuberculosis drug resistance and the Luria-Delbruck distribution
2:30-3:00pm Bradley Wagner: HIV strains with drug-resistant mutations: the effect of fitness costs and genetic bottlenecks in limiting transmission
3:00-3:30pm Break
3:30-5:00pm Afternoon discussion leader: Andrew Park (Moderator: Helen Wearing)
5:15pm Shuttle pick-up from MBI
Thursday, March 22
8:15am Shuttle leaves for MBI
8:30-9:00am Breakfast
9:00-10:00am Troy Day: Branching Process Models in Evolutionary Epidemiology
10:00-10:30am Break
10:30-11:00am Nicolas Champagnat: An individual-based approach to adaptive dynamics: a study of evolution and diversification through concentration scalings
11:00-11:30am Malwina Luczak: Central limit approximations for Markov population processes with countably many types
11:30-12:00pm Questions and Discussion (Moderator: Sylvie Meleard)
12:00-2:00pm Lunch break
2:00-2:30pm Julien Arino: A model for the propagation of resistance to a parasite in vectors
2:30-3:00pm Nicole Mideo: Life in cells, hosts, and vectors: parasite evolution across scales
3:00-3:30pm Break
3:30-5:00pm Afternoon discussion leader: Sally Blower (Moderator: Linda Allen)
5:15pm Shuttle pick-up from MBI
6:00-7:00pm Cash Bar
7:00pm Banquet in the Fusion Room @ Crowne Plaza Hotel
Friday, March 23
8:15am Shuttle leaves for MBI
8:30-9:00am Breakfast
9:00-9:30am Summary (Organizers)
9:30-11:00am Discussion leaders: Linda Allen, Sally Blower, Sylvie Meleard, and Helen Wearing
11:30pm One Shuttle back to hotel
One Shuttle to Columbus Airport (CMH)